Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.024490 0.026334 0.028257 0.030414 0.032771 0.035270 0.038123
2025-01-19 0.021722 0.024385 0.027308 0.030765 0.034754 0.039230 0.044652
2025-01-26 0.019651 0.022776 0.026340 0.030726 0.036009 0.042203 0.050070
2025-02-02 0.018329 0.021804 0.025893 0.031095 0.037588 0.045492 0.055944
2025-02-09 0.016963 0.020617 0.025027 0.030795 0.038214 0.047539 0.060310
2025-02-16 0.015903 0.019695 0.024379 0.030656 0.038951 0.049682 0.064858
2025-02-23 0.014954 0.018831 0.023716 0.030409 0.039472 0.051510 0.069041
2025-03-02 0.014218 0.018181 0.023269 0.030385 0.040244 0.053669 0.073775
2025-03-09 0.013414 0.017387 0.022574 0.029961 0.040407 0.054956 0.077310
2025-03-16 0.012640 0.016586 0.021816 0.029389 0.040301 0.055819 0.080234
2025-03-23 0.012045 0.015993 0.021302 0.029114 0.040580 0.057222 0.084028
2025-03-30 0.011502 0.015442 0.020812 0.028837 0.040820 0.058554 0.087773
2025-04-06 0.010877 0.014752 0.020101 0.028206 0.040507 0.059044 0.090244
2025-04-13 0.010580 0.014512 0.020014 0.028484 0.041574 0.061709 0.096423
2025-04-20 0.010210 0.014147 0.019727 0.028440 0.042131 0.063591 0.101428
2025-04-27 0.009975 0.013965 0.019695 0.028774 0.043288 0.066490 0.108371
2025-05-04 0.009588 0.013543 0.019285 0.028500 0.043449 0.067756 0.112538
2025-05-11 0.009267 0.013204 0.018983 0.028373 0.043833 0.069402 0.117491
2025-05-18 0.008941 0.012844 0.018632 0.028148 0.044036 0.070740 0.121965
2025-05-25 0.008685 0.012580 0.018416 0.028126 0.044570 0.072673 0.127687
2025-06-01 0.008357 0.012192 0.017990 0.027739 0.044457 0.073450 0.131241
2025-06-08 0.008015 0.011771 0.017496 0.027217 0.044080 0.073723 0.133817
2025-06-15 0.007754 0.011466 0.017175 0.026966 0.044159 0.074823 0.138113